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61
Fixed %Risk vs Kelly Criterion on the Same RRR Dataset
#strategy#results

Compared two position-sizing models on the same RRR history (WR 45%, avg 1.8R).

QuantMindset·3d ago·💬 15 comments
52
Sim Results: Mean Reversion System WR 65%, RRR 1.2
#results

Small mean-reversion system. High win rate but modest RRR. Most people say this style is not worth it.

MeanRevSystem·6d ago·💬 9 comments
47
Found Optimal Risk 4.2% for My Trend-Following System
#results#strategy

Ran the sim with 500 trades from my Gold breakout system. Results were eye-opening — Prob Objective at 74% and Prob Ruin just 3.1% at 4.2% risk.

TrendCatcher·1d ago·💬 8 comments
38
0% Prob of Ruin at 1% Risk — Is It Worth the Trade-Off?
#discussion

Two scenarios: Prob Ruin = 0% but Prob Objective = 18% vs. Prob Ruin = 5% but Prob Objective = 60%.

RiskPhilosophy·5d ago·💬 22 comments
29
Low WR 25% System with RRR 4:1 — What Risk Level Works?
#discussion#help

I trade breakouts with wide stops. Low win rate but strong reward-to-risk. Most people dismiss this style, but expectancy is clearly positive.

LowWR_HighRR·3d ago·💬 6 comments
23
How Much Do Outlier RRR Values Skew Sim Results?
#help#rrr

My trade history has two +18 RRR outliers (most results sit between -1 and +3).

StatNerd99·2d ago·💬 12 comments